Author: cxdig

Social network heterogeneity promotes depolarization of multidimensional correlated opinions

Jaume Ojer, Michele Starnini, and Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

Phys. Rev. Research 7, 013207

Understanding the mechanisms to mitigate opinion polarization in our society is crucial to minimizing social division and ultimately strengthening democracy. Due to the challenge of collecting long-term reliable empirical data, researchers have been mostly focused on a theoretical understanding of the process of opinion depolarization. To this aim, realistic yet simple models prove valuable, especially when multiple topics are discussed at the same time, which may result in entangled opinion dynamics. In this paper, we propose the multidimensional social compass model, based on two competing key ingredients: DeGroot learning, driven by the social influence exerted across multiple topics, and the preference of individuals to maintain their initial opinions. The interplay between these two mechanisms triggers a phase transition from polarization to consensus, determined by a threshold value of social influence. We analytically study the nature of the depolarization transition and its threshold, depending on the number of topics discussed, the possible correlations between initial opinions, the topology of the underlying social networks, and the correlations between the initial opinion distribution and the network’s structure. Theoretical predictions are validated by running numerical simulations on both synthetic and real social networks. We rely on several simplifying assumptions to explore different scenarios, such as a mean-field approximation for high dimension or orthogonal initial orientations. We uncover an upper critical dimension (đ·đ‘=5 topics) for uncorrelated initial opinions, distinguishing between discontinuous and continuous phase transitions. For the simplest đ·=2 case and correlated initial opinions, we found that the depolarization threshold can vanish if the underlying connectivity is heterogeneous, as predicted by perturbation theory. Such an effect is due to the presence of hubs, which promote consensus in the population. We test this hypothesis by designing a rewiring algorithm that increases the structural heterogeneity of the underlying network, showing that the depolarization threshold decreases. Finally, we demonstrate that if hubs share the same initial opinion, the depolarization dynamics is significantly hindered. Our findings contribute to understanding the mechanisms to mitigate polarization in real-world scenarios, suggesting which settings can promote the depolarization process. The presence of very popular individuals on online social networks and the alignment of their opinions, in particular, may play a pivotal role in the multidimensional depolarization dynamics.

Read the full article at: link.aps.org

Sustainable visions: unsupervised machine learning insights on global development goals

Alberto GarcĂ­a-RodrĂ­guez, Matias NĂșñez, Miguel Robles PĂ©rez, Tzipe Govezensky, Rafael A Barrio, Carlos Gershenson, Kimmo K Kaski, Julia TagĂŒeña

PLoS ONE 20(3): e0317412.

The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development of the United Nations outlines 17 goals for countries of the world to address global challenges in their development. However, the progress of countries towards these goal has been slower than expected and, consequently, there is a need to investigate the reasons behind this fact. In this study, we have used a novel data-driven methodology to analyze time-series data for over 20 years (2000–2022) from 107 countries using unsupervised machine learning (ML) techniques. Our analysis reveals strong positive and negative correlations between certain SDGs (Sustainable Development Goals). Our findings show that progress toward the SDGs is heavily influenced by geographical, cultural and socioeconomic factors, with no country on track to achieve all the goals by 2030. This highlights the need for a region-specific, systemic approach to sustainable development that acknowledges the complex interdependencies between the goals and the variable capacities of countries to reach them. For this our machine learning based approach provides a robust framework for developing efficient and data-informed strategies to promote cooperative and targeted initiatives for sustainable progress.

Read the full article at: journals.plos.org

How COVID-19 Changed the World

Five years ago this week, the World Health Organization declared the COVID-19 pandemic, and the world has never been the same. What began in December 2019 as a cluster of patients in Wuhan, China, with a mysterious pneumonia-like illness exploded into an existential threat that has killed more than 7 million people. Life changed for everyone, practically overnight. Millions of workers lost their jobs as businesses shuttered, and those who were fortunate enough to work remotely had to adjust quickly to digitalization. Supply chains were disrupted, and economies were in turmoil. Health care professionals faced unprecedented challenges caring for the sick while trying to protect themselves amid a shortage of equipment. The real estate market, particularly in the United States, transformed dramatically as prices rose along with interest rates. No country, no industry, no individual was left unaffected by the pandemic, in ways both large and small.

We asked several Wharton professors to reflect on these profound changes and how they continue to shape the world. Keep reading for their responses.

Read the full article at: knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu

The Reasonable Ineffectiveness of Mathematics in the Biological Sciences

Seymour Garte, Perry Marshall, and Stuart Kauffman

Entropy 2025, 27(3), 280

The known laws of nature in the physical sciences are well expressed in the language of mathematics, a fact that caused Eugene Wigner to wonder at the “unreasonable effectiveness” of mathematical concepts to explain physical phenomena. The biological sciences, in contrast, have resisted the formulation of precise mathematical laws that model the complexity of the living world. The limits of mathematics in biology are discussed as stemming from the impossibility of constructing a deterministic “Laplacian” model and the failure of set theory to capture the creative nature of evolutionary processes in the biosphere. Indeed, biology transcends the limits of computation. This leads to a necessity of finding new formalisms to describe biological reality, with or without strictly mathematical approaches. In the former case, mathematical expressions that do not demand numerical equivalence (equations) provide useful information without exact predictions. Examples of approximations without equal signs are given. The ineffectiveness of mathematics in biology is an invitation to expand the limits of science and to see that the creativity of nature transcends mathematical formalism.

Read the full article at: www.mdpi.com

The Nature of Organization in Living Systems

Pedro Mårquez-Zacarías, Andrés Ortiz-Muñoz, Emma P. Bingham

Living systems are thermodynamically open but closed in their organization. In other words, even though their material components turn over constantly, a material-independent property persists, which we call organization. Moreover, organization comes from within organisms themselves, which requires us to explain how this self-organization is established and maintained. In this paper we propose a mathematical and conceptual framework to understand the kinds of organized systems that living systems are, aiming to explain how self-organization emerges from more basic elemental processes. Additionally, we map our own notions to existing traditions in theoretical biology and philosophy, aiming to bring the main formal ideas into conceptual congruence.

Read the full article at: arxiv.org