Category: Papers

The many ways toward punctuated evolution

Salva Duran-Nebreda, Blai Vidiella, Andrej Spiridonov, Niles Eldredge, Michael J. O’Brien, R. Alexander Bentley, Sergi Valverde

Palaeontology  Volume 67, Issue 5
September/October 2024
e12731

Punctuated equilibria is a theory of evolution that suggests that species go through periods of stability followed by sudden changes in phenotype. This theory has been debated for decades in evolutionary biology, but recent findings of stasis and punctuated change in evolutionary systems such as tumour dynamics, viral evolution, and artificial evolution have attracted attention from a broad range of researchers. There is a risk of interpreting punctuated change from a phenomenological, or even metaphorical, standpoint and thus opening the possibility of repeating similar debates that have occurred in the past. How to translate the lessons from evolutionary models of the fossil record to explain punctuated changes in other biological scales remains an open question. To minimize confusion, we recommend that the step-like pattern seen in many evolutionary systems be referred to as punctuated evolution rather than punctuated equilibria, which is the theory generally linked with the similar pattern in the fossil record. Punctuated evolution is a complex pattern resulting from the interaction of both external and internal eco-evolutionary feedback. The interplay between these evolutionary drivers can help explain the history of life and the whole spectrum of evolutionary dynamics, including diversification, cyclic changes, and stability.

Read the full article at: onlinelibrary.wiley.com

AI can help humans find common ground in democratic deliberation

MICHAEL HENRY TESSLER, et al.

SCIENCE 18 Oct 2024 Vol 386, Issue 6719

To act collectively, groups must reach agreement; however, this can be challenging when discussants present very different but valid opinions. Tessler et al. investigated whether artificial intelligence (AI) can help groups reach a consensus during democratic debate (see the Policy Forum by Nyhan and Titiunik). The authors trained a large language model called the Habermas Machine to serve as an AI mediator that helped small UK groups find common ground while discussing divisive political issues such as Brexit, immigration, the minimum wage, climate change, and universal childcare. Compared with human mediators, AI mediators produced more palatable statements that generated wide agreement and left groups less divided. The AI’s statements were more clear, logical, and informative without alienating minority perspectives. This work carries policy implications for AI’s potential to unify deeply divided groups. —Ekeoma Uzogara

Read the full article at: www.science.org

A new sociology of humans and machines

Milena Tsvetkova, Taha Yasseri, Niccolo Pescetelli & Tobias Werner
Nature Human Behaviour volume 8, pages 1864–1876 (2024)

From fake social media accounts and generative artificial intelligence chatbots to trading algorithms and self-driving vehicles, robots, bots and algorithms are proliferating and permeating our communication channels, social interactions, economic transactions and transportation arteries. Networks of multiple interdependent and interacting humans and intelligent machines constitute complex social systems for which the collective outcomes cannot be deduced from either human or machine behaviour alone. Under this paradigm, we review recent research and identify general dynamics and patterns in situations of competition, coordination, cooperation, contagion and collective decision-making, with context-rich examples from high-frequency trading markets, a social media platform, an open collaboration community and a discussion forum. To ensure more robust and resilient human–machine communities, we require a new sociology of humans and machines. Researchers should study these communities using complex system methods; engineers should explicitly design artificial intelligence for human–machine and machine–machine interactions; and regulators should govern the ecological diversity and social co-development of humans and machines.

Read the full article at: www.nature.com

Network mutual information measures for graph similarity

Helcio Felippe, Federico Battiston & Alec Kirkley 

Communications Physics volume 7, Article number: 335 (2024)

A wide range of tasks in network analysis, such as clustering network populations or identifying anomalies in temporal graph streams, require a measure of the similarity between two graphs. To provide a meaningful data summary for downstream scientific analyses, the graph similarity measures used for these tasks must be principled, interpretable, and capable of distinguishing meaningful overlapping network structure from statistical noise at different scales of interest. Here we derive a family of graph mutual information measures that satisfy these criteria and are constructed using only fundamental information theoretic principles. Our measures capture the information shared among networks according to different encodings of their structural information, with our mesoscale mutual information measure allowing for network comparison under any specified network coarse-graining. We test our measures in a range of applications on real and synthetic network data, finding that they effectively highlight intuitive aspects of network similarity across scales in a variety of systems.

Read the full article at: www.nature.com

The Dynamics of Social Conventions in LLM populations: Spontaneous Emergence, Collective Biases and Tipping Points

Ariel Flint Ashery, Luca Maria Aiello, Andrea Baronchelli

Social conventions are the foundation for social and economic life. As legions of AI agents increasingly interact with each other and with humans, their ability to form shared conventions will determine how effectively they will coordinate behaviors, integrate into society and influence it. Here, we investigate the dynamics of conventions within populations of Large Language Model (LLM) agents using simulated interactions. First, we show that globally accepted social conventions can spontaneously arise from local interactions between communicating LLMs. Second, we demonstrate how strong collective biases can emerge during this process, even when individual agents appear to be unbiased. Third, we examine how minority groups of committed LLMs can drive social change by establishing new social conventions. We show that once these minority groups reach a critical size, they can consistently overturn established behaviors. In all cases, contrasting the experimental results with predictions from a minimal multi-agent model allows us to isolate the specific role of LLM agents. Our results clarify how AI systems can autonomously develop norms without explicit programming and have implications for designing AI systems that align with human values and societal goals.

Read the full article at: arxiv.org