Linghang Sun, Yifan Zhang, Cristian Axenie, Margherita Grossi, Anastasios Kouvelas, Michail A. Makridis

Major cities worldwide experience problems with the performance of their road transportation systems. The continuous increase in traffic demand presents a substantial challenge to the optimal operation of urban road networks and the efficiency of traffic control strategies. Although robust and resilient transportation systems have been extensively researched over the past decades, their performance under an ever-growing traffic demand can still be questionable. The operation of transportation systems is widely believed to display fragile property, i.e., the loss in performance increases exponentially with the linearly increasing magnitude of disruptions, which undermines their continuous operation. The risk engineering community is now embracing the novel concept of (anti-)fragility, which enables systems to learn from historical disruptions and exhibit improved performance as disruption levels reach unprecedented magnitudes. In this study, we demonstrate the fragile nature of road transportation systems when faced with either demand or supply disruptions. First, we conducted a rigorous mathematical analysis to theoretically establish the fragile nature of the systems. Subsequently, by taking into account real-world stochasticity, we implemented a numerical simulation with realistic network data to bridge the gap between the theoretical proof and the real-world operations, to study the impact of uncertainty on the fragile property of the systems. This work aims to help researchers better comprehend the necessity to explicitly consider antifragile design toward the application of future traffic control strategies, coping with constantly growing traffic demand and subsequent traffic accidents.

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Tomoko Sakiyama

Physica Scripta

Random Boolean Networks (RBNs) model complex networks with numerous variables, serving as a tool for gene expression and genetic regulation modeling. RBNs exhibit phase transitions, contingent on node degrees. Given the significance of phase transitions in collective behaviors, the study explores the relationship between RBNs and actual living system networks, which also display critical behaviors. Notably, living systems exhibit such behaviors even beyond the predicted critical point in RBNs. This paper introduces a novel RBNs model incorporating a rewiring process for edge connections/disconnections. In contrast to prior studies, our model includes artificial genes occasionally adding self-loops and creating an instant and temporal lookup table. Consequently, our proposed model demonstrates the edge of chaos at higher node degrees. It serves as an abstract RBNs model generating noisy behaviors from internal agent processes without external parameter tuning.

Read the full article at: iopscience.iop.org