The Logic of Emergence

David H. Wolpert, David C. Krakauer

“Emergence” refers to the fact that different mathematical languages and theories seem to be required to describe scientific theories that operate at different spatial and temporal scales. Highly circumscribed, special cases of emergence have been investigated using many different formal tools, including coarse-graining (over space and / or time), renormalization, dimension reduction, broken symmetry, and various formulations of causality. Here we extend the mathematics of model theory to unify and extend these earlier investigations. As a preliminary application of our framework, we investigate canonical examples of emergence, including the emergence of genetics from chemistry, of psychology from neurobiology, and of different forms of collective behavior from the laws governing their constituent parts. By exploiting the power of model theory we also uncover many aspects of emergence that were previously obscured. In particular, we uncover some of the rich hierarchical structure that relates different scientific fields. For example, we show that scientific fields can be related via a collection of multiple partial orders, all defined over the same set. On the other hand, under an alternative relation among scientific fields, one which allows cycles, we show that it is possible that the set of all of scientific fields must collapse into a single scientific field. Going forward, these investigations point to the formal tools that might need to be developed in order to arrive at a deeper understanding of this emergent hierarchy of scientific reality.

Read the full article at: arxiv.org

Adaptive cut reveals multiscale complexity in networks

Louis Boucherie , Yong-Yeol Ahn , Sune Lehmann
PNAS Nexus, Volume 5, Issue 11, November 2026, pgag344,

Hierarchical clustering and community detection are important problems in machine learning and complex network analysis. A common approach to identify clusters is to simply cut dendrograms at some threshold. However, single-level cuts are often suboptimal in terms of capturing underlying structure in the data, especially when the dendrogram is unbalanced. In this article, we present the adaptive cut, a method that uses the hierarchical structure of dendrograms through multilevel cuts to overcome the limitations of single-level approaches. The adaptive cut optimizes an objective function using a Markov chain Monte Carlo with simulated annealing, resulting in better partitions. We demonstrate the adaptive cut through applications to link clustering and modularity optimization, but note that the method is applicable to any clustering task that relies on a dendrogram and an objective function. Beyond the adaptive cut, we introduce the balancedness score, an information-theoretic metric that quantifies how balanced a dendrogram is. Balancedness predicts the potential benefits of using multilevel cuts. For the community detection examples, we evaluate our method on more than 200 real-world networks and multiple synthetic datasets, demonstrating improvements in partition density and modularity over traditional single-cut approaches. We also show the generality of the adaptive cut by applying it across hierarchical clustering techniques and objective functions. The adaptive cut improves clustering outcomes across a range of hierarchical clustering tasks.

Read the full article at: academic.oup.com

Agent-Based Modeling: Worlds Within Worlds

An interactive story from the Santa Fe Institute, Agent-Based Modeling: Worlds Within Worlds, traces the early development of ABMs, and how this approach to modeling grew from a fringe idea into a powerful tool used across the social sciences. The story includes several pared-down ABM models readers can run and adjust themselves.

Abstract: In the 21st century, surging computational power and dataset availability have made a method known as agent-based modeling increasingly useful to decision-makers. To imagine where the method might go next, it serves us to look at history. Focusing on SFI contributions, this story chronicles the rise of agent-based modeling in the social sciences, beginning with its roots in the Manhattan Project and John Conway’s Game of Life, continuing on to canonical proof-of-concept models like the Santa Fe Artificial Stock Market and Sugarscape, and finally turning to more recent applications in public health, archaeology, and macroeconomics, ending with a view to the future.

Read the full article at: www.santafe.edu

Ars Inquirendi 2026 — Querying Pre-Print Cultures with LLMs

Ars Inquirendi 2026: St Edmund Hall, Oxford & online, 20–22 November 2026. A hybrid conference on what large language models can do for pre-print-era evidence — and what a genuinely pre-print AI ecosystem would require. Registration open. Keynotes by Peter Turchin and Marieke Meelen.

More at: www.arsinq.com

Nested economies of scale in global city mass

Kangning Huang & Mingzhen Lu 
Nature Cities (2026)

A long-standing puzzle in urban science is whether there is an intrinsic match between human populations and the mass of their built environments. Existing models assume proportionality: each additional resident demands the same amount of building material. Our analysis of more than 3,000 cities worldwide challenges this linear assumption. Built mass grows more slowly than population (that is, sublinear scaling), across cities (β = 0.90) and across neighborhoods within a city (δ = 0.75). This means that larger cities and denser neighborhoods achieve economies of scale with less per capita built mass. Our theoretical framework further shows that the across-city scaling pattern emerges from the uneven within-city distribution of people. These findings caution against well-meaning interventions, such as height and building-size limits, that artificially flatten cities’ natural density gradients. Effective urban policy should instead move beyond per capita linear thinking, adopting scale-adjusted metrics and managing cities as nested complex systems.A long-standing puzzle in urban science is whether there is an intrinsic match between human populations and the mass of their built environments. Existing models assume proportionality: each additional resident demands the same amount of building material. Our analysis of more than 3,000 cities worldwide challenges this linear assumption. Built mass grows more slowly than population (that is, sublinear scaling), across cities (β = 0.90) and across neighborhoods within a city (δ = 0.75). This means that larger cities and denser neighborhoods achieve economies of scale with less per capita built mass. Our theoretical framework further shows that the across-city scaling pattern emerges from the uneven within-city distribution of people. These findings caution against well-meaning interventions, such as height and building-size limits, that artificially flatten cities’ natural density gradients. Effective urban policy should instead move beyond per capita linear thinking, adopting scale-adjusted metrics and managing cities as nested complex systems.

Read the full article at: www.nature.com