Month: July 2026

Artificial intelligence: unpredictable or unprestatable?

Andrea Roli, Sauro Succi, Stuart A. Kauffman

Front. Phys., 08 July 2026

Current AI technologies have demonstrated impressive results, mainly driven by large language models (LLMs). The most diffused applications of LLMs are in the so-called generative AI, which consists in techniques that produce texts, music, pictures or videos–often in a multimodal setting. Challenging the intuition that machines cannot be truly creative, the artefacts produced by LLMs are sometimes considered as surprising, novel and creative. This view is also supported by observing that there are both theoretical and practical limitations on the predictability of AI systems’ outcomes. Actual creativity can also be transformative and inventive, hence not just unpredictable but unprestatable: true novelty arises within a process whose evolution of the very possibility space cannot be predicted. Prominent examples of unprestatability are the evolution of the biosphere and can be found in artistic human productions. In this contribution, we elaborate on the notions of predictability and prestatability in the context of current AI systems. We maintain that these systems are, to some extent, unpredictable but not unprestatable. A consequence of our contention is the definition of the limits of what AI systems can and cannot do, and therefore the contexts for which these technologies are best suited.

Read the full article at: www.frontiersin.org

Early warning signals for loss of control in complex systems

Jasper J van Beers, Marten Scheffer, Prashant Solanki, Ingrid A van de Leemput, Egbert H van Nes, Coen C de Visser

PNAS 123 (27) e2608847123

From aircraft to power grids, controlled systems form a crucial part of human societies. Nonetheless, catastrophic failures happen. Many of those arise from the accumulation of incremental problems, such as natural wear and tear, that can go unnoticed until it is too late. We demonstrate that generic indicators of resilience can detect growing instabilities in damaged drones. The generic nature of our approach makes it compatible across diverse controlled systems. This not only allows for on-the-fly warning of instability but also facilitates anomaly detection during manufacturing and promotes proactive maintenance. A complementary application is to use our indicators for exploratory design, allowing one to “tinker” with systems through small adjustments and sensing quickly whether those worsen or improve system resilience.

Read the full article at: www.pnas.org

Strongly Clustered Random Graphs via Triadic Closure: Degree Correlations and Clustering Spectrum

Lorenzo Cirigliano, Gareth J. Baxter and Gábor Timár
Complexities 2026, 2(2), 13;

Real-world networks often exhibit strong transitivity with nontrivial local clustering spectra and degree correlations. Such features are not easily modeled in tractable network models, creating an obstacle to the theoretical understanding of such complex network structures. Here, we address this problem using a model for strongly clustered random graphs in which each triad of a random network backbone is closed with a certain probability. Despite the intricate loopy local structure of the graphs obtained, we provide exact expressions for the local clustering spectrum and the degree correlations, filling the gap in the theoretical description of this model for random graphs. In particular, we find positive degree assortativity accompanying high transitivity, and nontrivial structure in the clustering spectrum. Exact asymptotic analytical results, obtained for uncorrelated locally tree-like backbones, are complemented with extensive numerical characterization of finite-size effects.

Read the full article at: www.mdpi.com

Sketch of a novel approach to a neural model

Gabriele Scheler

There is room on the inside. We present an account of neuroplasticity with respect to cell-internal processing pathways and their relation to membrane and synaptic plasticity. We think traditional synapse-centric, weight-based models of memorization are not sufficient or adequate to capture the complexity of neuroplasticity. In standard accounts, we model a network of neurons connected by adaptive transmission links. The adaptation of these transmission links is overly simplified using short-term and long-term potentiation/depression, assuming weight changes according to use of the transmission link. In contrast, we propose a paradigm switch from a synapse-centric model (each synapse learns independently, based on its history of use) to a neuron-centric model (each neuron uses signal selection for intracellular pathways to express plasticity at the membrane). Each neuron has a ‘vertical’ dimension where internal parameters steer the external membrane- and synapse-expressed parameters. A neural model consists of (a) expression of parameters at the membrane, in particular dendritic synapses or spines, and axonal boutons (b) internal parameters in the sub-membrane zone and the cytoplasm with its protein signaling network and (c) core parameters in the nucleus for genetic and epigenetic information. In a neuron-centric model, each node (=neuron) in the horizontal network has its own internal memory. Neural transmission and information storage are separated, not automatically combined by coupling strength. There is filtering and selection of signals for storage. Not every transmission event leaves a trace. This represents an important conceptual advance over synaptic weight models. We present the neuron as a self-programming device, rather than as passively determined by ongoing input. We believe a new approach to neural modeling is necessary, because the experimental evidence is not well captured by traditional synapse-centric models. Ultimately, we are interested in the possibilities of a flexible memory system that processes external signals according to its inherent structure.

Read the full article at: f1000research.com

Identifying Energy Communities of Practice on Twitter: A Multiplex Network Analysis Using Graph Traversal Techniques

Vincenzo De Leo, Michelangelo Puliga, Martina Erba, Cesare Scalia, Andrea Filetti and Alessandro Chessa
Complexities 2026, 2(2), 15

In this work, we inspected the friendship network on Twitter (recently rebranded as X), concentrating on individuals and organizations intertwined with the energy field. We particularly focus on seasoned professionals, corporate entities, and domain specialists, all connected through ‘following’ relationships. By meticulously examining these ties, we uncover several distinct groupings within the network, each defined by the unique roles its members occupy. Our analysis demonstrates that the natural emergence of such clusters on social platforms exerts a profound influence on public discourse regarding energy and other critical matters, including climate change. Furthermore, we observe that the resulting communities exhibit distinct structural properties and communication patterns, with some clusters showing lower internal engagement, which may be indicative of fragmentation dynamics in online conversations. These emergent clusters, characterized by their shared communication styles, form relatively compact communities where the exchange of information is infrequent compared to larger networks and is usually confined to accounts created for specific commercial objectives. We emphasize that our analysis focuses on a structurally coherent connected component emerging from a curated set of energy-related seed accounts, rather than attempting to reconstruct the entirety of the energy discourse on Twitter. Consequently, peripheral or weakly connected communities may be underrepresented. Additionally, by combining machine-learning-based node classification with graph-based centrality measures, we are able to characterize the roles of structurally central actors within these niche segments and analyze the connectivity patterns that define their positions. This method provides novel insights into how corporate communication unfolds on social media, offering a refreshed perspective on professional networking. Ultimately, our findings highlight the ways in which companies within the energy sector take advantage of Twitter to coordinate their initiatives, with key institutions serving as central nodes in maintaining the organization of these networks.

Read the full article at: www.mdpi.com