Category: Papers

A digital twin should make a risky claim

Manlio De Domenico, Valeria d’Andrea, Marco Grassia, Giuseppe Mangioni & Barbara Di Camillo 
Nature Physics (2026)

As the term ‘digital twin’ spreads across science and technology, it risks losing scientific meaning. Such a twin should not denote just a digital replica, but a computational model that can be updated, tested against intervention and shown to fail.As the term ‘digital twin’ spreads across science and technology, it risks losing scientific meaning. Such a twin should not denote just a digital replica, but a computational model that can be updated, tested against intervention and shown to fail.

Read the full article at: www.nature.com

Cultural proximity reveals a local premium in collective memory

Mariana Macedo , Melanie Oyarzun , Cristian Candia , César A Hidalgo

PNAS Nexus, pgag308,

Collective memory—shared information about the past that shapes a group’s identity—is often examined through constructs such as familiarity or salience, conflating its local and global components. Here, we untangle these components using multilingual online attention traces for over 50,000 Wikipedia biographies spanning 137 billion pageviews and a large-scale behavioral recognition experiment in which more than 41,000 participants answered factual questions about famous biographies. Our experiment reveals a robust local memory premium, with people being around 10 percentage points more likely to answer correctly questions about someone from their country and about 5 points more likely to answer correctly questions about biographies with whom they share a language. Finally, we study the impact of three major life events: Nobel Prizes, Oscars, and deaths in local and global online attention, finding these events produce brief but strong surges in local attention and slower but sustained increases in global attention. These findings add important spatial and temporal nuances to our understanding of collective memory.Collective memory—shared information about the past that shapes a group’s identity—is often examined through constructs such as familiarity or salience, conflating its local and global components. Here, we untangle these components using multilingual online attention traces for over 50,000 Wikipedia biographies spanning 137 billion pageviews and a large-scale behavioral recognition experiment in which more than 41,000 participants answered factual questions about famous biographies. Our experiment reveals a robust local memory premium, with people being around 10 percentage points more likely to answer correctly questions about someone from their country and about 5 points more likely to answer correctly questions about biographies with whom they share a language. Finally, we study the impact of three major life events: Nobel Prizes, Oscars, and deaths in local and global online attention, finding these events produce brief but strong surges in local attention and slower but sustained increases in global attention. These findings add important spatial and temporal nuances to our understanding of collective memory.

Read the full article at: academic.oup.com

On Growth and Form, and Function: Reusable Regulatory Handles Control Phenotypic Variation

Benedikt Hartl, Milton L. Montero, Marcello Barylli, Sebastian Risi, Michael Levin

How phenotypic transformations are implemented by changes in underlying regulatory dynamics remains a central question in developmental biology. Inspired by D’Arcy Thompson’s 1917 “On Growth and Form”, we ask whether coherent large-scale transformations of morphology can be encoded as low-dimensional modulations of a self-organizing developmental system. We use neural cellular automata (NCAs) as bio-inspired models of distributed development, in which a shared local regulatory network grows target morphologies from a single cell. We apply low-rank adaptation (LoRA) to pretrained NCAs, representing each adapted developmental program as a low-rank modulation of a fixed regulatory scaffold. Horizontal and vertical scaling of a fully grown 2D emoji phenotype can each be implemented by rank-one adaptations. Their linear combinations parametrically control phenotype size, generalize beyond the training distribution, and compose with target-specific adapters. Strikingly, adaptations learned for one phenotype transfer zero-shot across structurally and semantically diverse phenotypes sharing the same reference scaffold, while largely preserving internal features. This suggests reusable system-level hyper-directions of scale rather than morphology-specific transformations. From approximately 25,000 independently trained phenotype-specific NCA adapters with a shared scaffold, we further identify latent low-dimensional directions that functionally control phenotypic variation including scaling, style, and symmetrical fission. Together, our results provide a computational realization of D’Arcy Thompson’s remarkable grid transformations in a 2D NCA—a minimal cybernetic tissue in which variations of fully grown emoji phenotypes can be encoded, combined, and controlled through low-dimensional directions in regulatory weight space.

Read the full article at: arxiv.org

The Noise-Perturbed Onset of Chaos as a Model for Dissolution of Congested Vehicle Traffic

Santa Elena Tellez-Flores and Alberto Robledo

Complexities 2026, 2(3), 19

We present a nonlinear dynamical model for vehicular traffic jams and their dissolution based on the noise-perturbed onset of chaos. The model makes use of the bifurcation gap generated by addition of noise to quadratic iterated maps. The gap results from the elimination by noise of periodic and chaotic attractors with large periods and large numbers of chaotic bands, respectively. The bifurcation gap is recapitulated at the transition to chaos (vanishing Lyapunov exponent) as a crossover from noiseless to irregular, chaotic-like regimes at an iteration time tcross with value dependent on the noise amplitude. This behavior is employed in a model (with variants) that we design for multilane road congested traffic. We highlight four main model properties that are also present in the dynamics of glass formation: (i) plateau interrupted relaxation; (ii) Adam–Gibbs empirical law; (iii) aging; and (iv) diffusion arrest. The model bridges previous studies that have indicated analogies between glassy dynamics and vehicular traffic as well as nonlinear dynamics and same-name traffic. We also discuss the connection of the model with urban multilane road networks.

Read the full article at: www.mdpi.com

Survival Probability of Random Networks

Kevin Peralta-Martínez and José A. Méndez-Bermúdez

Complexities 2026, 2(3), 17

In this work, we study in detail all phases of the time evolution of a delta-like excitation in Erdös–Renyi (ER) random networks by means of the survival probability (SP): The initial decay of the SP (both, the fast decay followed by the power-law decay), the correlation hole regime (the regime between the minimum value of the SP and its saturation value), and the saturation of the SP. Specifically, we find that just before reaching the correlation hole, (i) the power-law decay of the SP is proportional to t−D2 and t−D˜2 (in a short time window) and the power-law decay of the time-averaged SP is proportional to t−D˜2 (where D2 and D˜2 are the correlation dimension of the eigenstates of the randomly weighted adjacency matrices of the ER random networks and the correlation dimension associated with the initial state, respectively); however, this agreement is only approximate, depends on the average degree ⟨k⟩, and is limited to short time windows, and (ii) the relative depth of the correlation hole of the SP scales with the average degree ⟨k⟩≈np (here, n and p are the size and the connection probability of the ER random networks). In addition, we show that the eigenstates of the randomly weighted adjacency matrices of ER networks display clear multifractal properties.

Read the full article at: www.mdpi.com