AI and the transformation of social science research

IGOR GROSSMANN , MATTHEW FEINBERG, DAWN C. PARKER, NICHOLAS A. CHRISTAKIS, PHILIP E. TETLOCK, AND WILLIAM A. CUNNINGHAM

SCIENCE 15 Jun 2023 Vol 380, Issue 6650

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI), particularly large language models (LLMs), are substantially affecting social science research. These transformer-based machine-learning models pretrained on vast amounts of text data are increasingly capable of simulating human-like responses and behaviors (1, 2), offering opportunities to test theories and hypotheses about human behavior at great scale and speed. This presents urgent challenges: How can social science research practices be adapted, even reinvented, to harness the power of foundational AI? And how can this be done while ensuring transparent and replicable research?

Read the full article at: www.science.org

Higher-order correlations reveal complex memory in temporal hypergraphs

Luca Gallo, Lucas Lacasa, Vito Latora, Federico Battiston

Many real-world complex systems are characterized by interactions in groups that change in time. Current temporal network approaches, however, are unable to describe group dynamics, as they are based on pairwise interactions only. Here, we use time-varying hypergraphs to describe such systems, and we introduce a framework based on higher-order correlations to characterize their temporal organization. We analyze various social systems, finding that groups of different sizes have typical patterns of long-range temporal correlations. Moreover, our method reveals the presence of non-trivial temporal interdependencies between different group sizes. We introduce a model of temporal hypergraphs with non-Markovian group interactions, which reveals complex memory as a fundamental mechanism underlying the pattern in the data.

Read the full article at: arxiv.org

SFI Complexity Interactive

October 9 – 20, 2023

SFI Complexity Interactive (SFI-CI) combines the dynamic interactions of an in-person course with the flexibility to learn from anywhere in the world. This two-week, part-time, online course offers participants a theory- and applications-based overview of complexity science. Complexity Interactive provides a foundation for thinking broadly about complex systems, encouraging participants to explore syntheses across systems in an open dialog with SFI faculty. The program’s size is limited to ensure everyone has ample opportunity to discuss with faculty and with each other.

In 2023, the curriculum will investigate modeling humans and social behavior, focusing on methods and approaches from complex systems science.

More at: www.santafe.edu

Prevalence of multistability and nonstationarity in driven chemical networks

Zachary G. Nicolaou, Schuyler B. Nicholson, Adilson E. Motter, Jason R. Green

J. Chem. Phys. 158, 225101 (2023)

External flows of energy, entropy, and matter can cause sudden transitions in the stability of biological and industrial systems, fundamentally altering their dynamical function. How might we control and design these transitions in chemical reaction networks? Here, we analyze transitions giving rise to complex behavior in random reaction networks subject to external driving forces. In the absence of driving, we characterize the uniqueness of the steady state and identify the percolation of a giant connected component in these networks as the number of reactions increases. When subject to chemical driving (influx and outflux of chemical species), the steady state can undergo bifurcations, leading to multistability or oscillatory dynamics. By quantifying the prevalence of these bifurcations, we show how chemical driving and network sparsity tend to promote the emergence of these complex dynamics and increased rates of entropy production. We show that catalysis also plays an important role in the emergence of complexity, strongly correlating with the prevalence of bifurcations. Our results suggest that coupling a minimal number of chemical signatures with external driving can lead to features present in biochemical processes and abiogenesis.

Read the full article at: pubs.aip.org

Why Are There Six Degrees of Separation in a Social Network?

I. Samoylenko, D. Aleja, E. Primo, K. Alfaro-Bittner, E. Vasilyeva, K. Kovalenko, D. Musatov, A. M. Raigorodskii, R. Criado, M. Romance, D. Papo, M. Perc, B. Barzel, and S. Boccaletti
Phys. Rev. X 13, 021032

A wealth of evidence shows that real-world networks are endowed with the small-world property, i.e., that the maximal distance between any two of their nodes scales logarithmically rather than linearly with their size. In addition, most social networks are organized so that no individual is more than six connections apart from any other, an empirical regularity known as the six degrees of separation. Why social networks have this ultrasmall-world organization, whereby the graph’s diameter is independent of the network size over several orders of magnitude, is still unknown. We show that the “six degrees of separation” is the property featured by the equilibrium state of any network where individuals weigh between their aspiration to improve their centrality and the costs incurred in forming and maintaining connections. We show, moreover, that the emergence of such a regularity is compatible with all other features, such as clustering and scale-freeness, that normally characterize the structure of social networks. Thus, our results show how simple evolutionary rules of the kind traditionally associated with human cooperation and altruism can also account for the emergence of one of the most intriguing attributes of social networks.

Read the full article at: link.aps.org