Jonas Wickman, Christopher A. Klausmeier, and Elena Litchman

The American Naturalist

Environmental variability, in the form of either temporal fluctuations or intermittent perturbations, affects virtually all ecological systems. However, while temporal variability is widely recognized to play an important role across many ecological and evolutionary subdisciplines, there is no high-level cross-cutting concept that describes how species, communities, and ecosystems respond to variability. In this article we propose that “antifragility” could serve well as such a concept. Initially used in economics, antifragility denotes that a property or metric of performance increases with variability. To showcase the breadth of applicability and utility of the concept, we examine two mathematical models for antifragility in ecosystem services and competition. We also demonstrate some of the nuances and possible misapplications of the concept. Under global change, the variability of environmental conditions is expected to change. We believe that antifragility could serve as a useful concept in coordinating research efforts toward understanding the effects of these changes.

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Vicky Chuqiao Yang, James Holehouse, Hyejin Youn, José Ignacio Arroyo, Sidney Redner, Geoffrey B. West, and Christopher P. Kempes

PNAS 123 (7) e2509729123

Diversification and specialization are central to complex adaptive systems, yet overarching principles across domains remain elusive. We introduce a general theory that unifies diversity and specialization across disparate systems, including microbes, federal agencies, companies, universities, and cities, characterized by two key parameters. We show from extensive data that function diversity scales with system size as a sublinear power law-resembling Heaps’ law-in all but cities, where it is logarithmic. Our theory explains both behaviors and suggests that function creation depends on system goals and structure: federal agencies tend to ensure functional coverage; cities slow new function growth as old ones expand, and cells occupy an intermediate position. Once functions are introduced, their growth follows a remarkably universal pattern across all systems.

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Dashun Wang

As artificial-intelligence systems take on more of the scientific workflow, the central goal should not be complete automation, but designing platforms that preserve creativity, responsibility and surprise.

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Abbas K Rizi

PNAS Nexus, Volume 5, Issue 2, February 2026, pgag010,

The term emergence is increasingly used across scientific disciplines to describe phenomena that arise from interactions among a system’s components but cannot be readily inferred by examining those components in isolation. While often invoked to explain higher-level behaviors—such as flocking, synchronization, or collective intelligence—the term is frequently used without precision, sometimes giving rise to ambiguity or even mystique. In this perspective paper, I clarify the scientific meaning of emergence as a measurable and physically grounded phenomenon. Through concrete examples—such as temperature, magnetism, and herd immunity in social networks—I review how collective behavior can arise from local interactions that are constrained by global boundaries. By refining the concept of emergence, it is possible to gain a clearer and more grounded understanding of complex systems. My goal is to show that emergence, when properly framed, offers not mysticism, but rather insight.

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