What was once outright denial has morphed into a subtler dismissal.
Read the full article at: www.theatlantic.com
Networking the complexity community since 1999
What was once outright denial has morphed into a subtler dismissal.
Read the full article at: www.theatlantic.com
The conference “Statistical Mechanics for Complexity – A Celebration of the 80th Birthday of C. Tsallis” will be held at the Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Físicas, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, from November 6 to 10, 2023, and it will address the latest advances in the area of Statistical Mechanics and Complex Systems*. In this event we will have the pleasure to celebrate the 80th birthday of Constantino Tsallis and his many seminal contributions to statistical physics.
More at: www.cbpf.br
Adam Safron, Dalton A. R. Sakthivadivel, Zahra Sheikhbahaee, Magnus Bein, Adeel Razi and Michael Levin
Symmetry is a motif featuring in almost all areas of science. Symmetries appear throughout the natural world, making them particularly important in our quest to understand the structure of the world around us. Symmetries and invariances are often first principles pointing to some lawful description of an observation, with explanations being understood as both ‘satisfying’ and potentially useful in their regularity. The sense of aesthetic beauty accompanying such explanations is reminiscent of our understanding of intelligence in terms of the ability to efficiently predict (or compress) data; indeed, identifying and building on symmetry can offer a particularly elegant description of a physical situation. The study of symmetries is so fundamental to mathematics and physics that one might ask where else it proves useful. This theme issue poses the question: what does the study of symmetry, and symmetry breaking, have to offer for the study of life and the mind?
Interface Focus Volume 13 Issue 3
Read the full article at: royalsocietypublishing.org
Vincent J Straub, Milena Tsvetkova, and Taha Yasseri
Collective Intelligence
Humans and other intelligent agents often rely on collective decision making based on an intuition that groups outperform individuals. However, at present, we lack a complete theoretical understanding of when groups perform better. Here, we examine performance in collective decision making in the context of a real-world citizen science task environment in which individuals with manipulated differences in task-relevant training collaborated. We find 1) dyads gradually improve in performance but do not experience a collective benefit compared to individuals in most situations; 2) the cost of coordination to efficiency and speed that results when switching to a dyadic context after training individually is consistently larger than the leverage of having a partner, even if they are expertly trained in that task; and 3) on the most complex tasks having an additional expert in the dyad who is adequately trained improves accuracy. These findings highlight that the extent of training received by an individual, the complexity of the task at hand, and the desired performance indicator are all critical factors that need to be accounted for when weighing up the benefits of collective decision making.
Read the full article at: journals.sagepub.com

Pietro Foini, Michele Tizzoni, Giulia Martini, Daniela Paolotti & Elisa Omodei
Scientific Reports volume 13, Article number: 2793 (2023)
Food insecurity, defined as the lack of physical or economic access to safe, nutritious and sufficient food, remains one of the main challenges included in the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Near real-time data on the food insecurity situation collected by international organizations such as the World Food Programme can be crucial to monitor and forecast time trends of insufficient food consumption levels in countries at risk. Here, using food consumption observations in combination with secondary data on conflict, extreme weather events and economic shocks, we build a forecasting model based on gradient boosted regression trees to create predictions on the evolution of insufficient food consumption trends up to 30 days in to the future in 6 countries (Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Mali, Nigeria, Syria and Yemen). Results show that the number of available historical observations is a key element for the forecasting model performance. Among the 6 countries studied in this work, for those with the longest food insecurity time series, that is Syria and Yemen, the proposed forecasting model allows to forecast the prevalence of people with insufficient food consumption up to 30 days into the future with higher accuracy than a naive approach based on the last measured prevalence only. The framework developed in this work could provide decision makers with a tool to assess how the food insecurity situation will evolve in the near future in countries at risk. Results clearly point to the added value of continuous near real-time data collection at sub-national level.
Read the full article at: www.nature.com