Month: July 2026

Is Lying an Emergent Behaviour in LLMs? Evidence from Gaslighting AI agents in a Sustainability Game

Subhendu Bhandary, Federico Carucci, Christos Charalambous, Francesca Dilisante, Ksenia Dvorkina, Anna Garbo, Jiaqi Liang, Riccardo Vasellini, Francesco Bertolotti

LLMs agents are increasingly used in multi-agent settings, yet their behaviour in sustainability games remains largely unexplored. This work investigates whether lying can emerge among LLM agents in a competitive sustainability game in which agents are informed that common resources can regenerate, although regeneration does not actually occur. We develop an agent-based model of a sustainability game in which agents manage industrial, military, and ecological resources, and interact through a network. LLM agents can observe neighbours’ status, declare future attacks, receive permission to lie, and access reputation information, while rule-based agents provide an interpretable behavioural baseline. The results show that neighbour information strongly changes system dynamics, increasing attacks while improving biosphere retention and coexistence. Also, the presence of future declarations reduce extinction risk without suppressing conflict. Behaviourally, deception emerges even when agents are not explicitly allowed to lie, and explicit permission mainly increases bluffing and diversion rather than direct backstabbing. Finally, the presence of reputation memory and information about the current biosphere level reduces system ecological depletion. These findings suggest that deception can arise as an emergent behaviour in LLM-agent systems and that communication between LLM-agents could support sustainability while dealing with risk.

Read the full article at: arxiv.org

SimPol: Simulating polarisation in political belief networks in European countries

Isabela Burattini Freire, Hongryol Cha, Irina Epure, Sara Filippini, Karan K.H. Manjunatha, Chethan Kavaraganahalli Prasanna, Ivan Samoylenko, Niels Van Santen, Adarsh Prabhakaran, Guillermo Romero Moreno
Here we combine empirical network analysis with agent-based modelling to understand how different ways of structuring belief systems may affect the polarisation drive, and how the diversity of belief systems in Europe may result in different polarisation trajectories. Using the 2016 European Social Survey, we infer belief networks across 23 European countries via a Bayesian algorithm, revealing that belief systems are predominantly organised around immigration, LGBT rights, and economic interventionism, reflecting the influence of populist discourse across the continent. We further verify a Western-Eastern divide across the national belief networks: in Western European countries, left-right self-identification is a more reliable predictor of broader belief alignment, whereas in Eastern Europe this relationship breaks down. By applying these empirical belief networks into a sociologically grounded agent-based model, we further show that polarisation is amplified by high individual belief rigidity and low susceptibility to social influence, and that cross-country differences in polarisation levels mirror the same geographic divide observed in belief network topology. These findings establish belief networks topologies as a structural driver of political polarisation, with implications for understanding and anticipating polarisation dynamics across diverse European contexts. We find that populations are not polarised when little attention is placed on maintaining internal coherence and polarisation levels are moderate when high attention is placed in both keeping internal coherence and agreement in beliefs with others.

Read the full article at: arxiv.org

Students using GenAI lag behind in problem-solving competence: an agent-based study of classroom networks

Lorenzo Betti, Iacopo Caporossi, Carsten Källner, Karolina Levanaitė, Chenyu Li, Xuan-Chen Liu, Giulia Lorenzini, Vittoria Socci, Michele Re Fiorentin, Ilaria Stanzani, Marta Baratto

The development of problem-solving competence (PSC) among high school students is foundational for preparing resilient and adaptive citizens. Generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) can support this process, but it may also encourage students to offload part of the cognitive work that is necessary for deep learning. While the individual effects of GenAI use are increasingly studied, its collective consequences for competence development within classroom environments remain underexplored. In this study, we use an agent-based model to simulate the evolution of PSC in a high school physics classroom, where students complete tasks individually, in collaboration with peers, or with the support of GenAI. By comparing classrooms with and without access to GenAI across different peer-network structures, we show that GenAI use can diminish competence development and increase the share of students remaining in lower competence tiers. These results suggest that the educational impact of GenAI should be assessed not only through individual learning outcomes but also through its effects on collective competence dynamics.

Read the full article at: arxiv.org

From streaks to synergies: A multi-scale analysis of performance and scoring in the NBA

Malvina Bozhidarova, Yanpei Cai, Ricardo M.S. Carvalho, Daniele Cirulli, Quentin Dehaene, Martin Diaz, Alexandra Krasnokutskaya, Bernardo Pereira, Onkar Sadekar, Federico Battiston

Modern play-by-play data make it possible to test long-standing intuitions about basketball with the same statistical rigour now routinely applied to other professional sports. Using play-by-play data from 7,054 regular-season and 504 playoff NBA games spanning the 2020-2025 seasons, we provide quantitative insights into scoring patterns and the performance of individual players and teams through methods from statistics, network science, and complexity science. Our findings offer an evidence-based perspective on in-season and in-game performance that can inform coaching strategies, player evaluation, and tactical decision-making.

Read the full article at: arxiv.org

Preferentiality and bandwidth drive tie activity in online and offline ego networks

Gamal Adel, Shrichand Bhuria, Alessandro Catalano, Liber Dorizzi, Leonardo Federici, Theodora Moldovan, Berné Nortier, Chara Deanna Punzal, Giulia de Meijere, Gerardo Iñiguez

Ego networks capture the variety of structural patterns in the social interactions of individuals. Recently it has been shown that ego networks in online settings display universal patterns of tie strength distributions, but it is unclear how constraints such as spatial proximity and bounded social bandwidth affect such generic behaviour in offline settings. Here, we analyse the time evolution of interaction activity in ego networks constructed from offline face-to-face and colocation data, compare them to online communication networks, and explore simple cumulative advantage models that capture the varying preferentiality of individuals for specific social ties. We find that patterns of preferentiality at the population level are similar for online and face-to-face networks, but not for colocation data, suggesting that the latter is a poor proxy of social network structure. We also provide evidence that empirical ego networks exhibit a bandwidth in the way communication events are allocated across connections. A model implementing this notion uncovers evidence of universal scaling between the tie preferentiality and bandwidth of individuals, common to all online and offline systems explored. Our findings strengthen our understanding of the fundamental mechanisms governing human communication and help disentangle the internal and external factors shaping tie evolution across social contexts.

Read the full article at: arxiv.org